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Reflections on a million-dollar transaction: Less is More

Trading is an endless conversation with yourself.

Author: b12ny

There are two types of traders in the market. One knows that too little will not make much money, and the other knows that the more you will owe.

When I stepped into the path of trading, I always thought that the more I learned, the more I could make. But it was not until later that I discovered that the market is not a knowledge competition, but a cruel game.

Just because the market is not as hot as in previous months, and the beginning of this year was also the time when my trading performance was at its worst, I began to review the trading history from the past to the present.

From the emotional trading that novices had at the beginning, to the later data trading, to the current emotional trading.

Along the way, I didn’t become more aware of the market, but understood how to adapt to it, so I learned to reduce unnecessary cognitive burdens and find the core elements that truly suit my trading.

Phase 1: Emotional trading

I remember when I first entered the market, trading decisions all came from intuition and sluggish market heat. FOMO was my trading driving force. Like everyone else, I used Musk’s Twitter to decide when I wanted to have a stud. I swiped Twitter and joined a bunch of TG groups, for fear of missing out on any hundredfold opportunity.

I feel that I have a strong sense of participation and have the opportunity to enter the market at any time. The market heat and the dog coins at that time made me feel like a blockchain genius. Until I encountered the first crash after frequent transactions, I experienced the largest retracement loss. Nearly 70%, entering and exiting the market seemed reasonable, but looking back, they were all idiots.

At that time, I even suspected that there was a dealer watching my position, but in fact I just didn’t understand how to trade through the logic of market operation.

Phase 2: Data transaction

After realizing the problem of emotional trading, I began to turn to data analysis. Because of my own background in data analysis, I began to study data on the chain, capital flows, and liquidity changes, using data to build trading strategies, and trying to follow the whale to find the perfect entry and exit position.

This kind of data advantage made me more rational, thinking that I had seen through the so-called banker’s operation and reduced the number of times I was led by the market. When I found that trading relied too much on indicators, decisions began to become complex and execution became more difficult.

When the data did not match market sentiment, I also began to fall into the dilemma of thinking the theory was correct but the market did not pay. I learned how to use data to verify market logic, but the market slapped me hard and told me:

“There is no data that can fully predict what will happen in the future.& rdquo;

Phase 3: Trading sentiment

In the middle and late stages of trading, I began to realize that the market never gives you a perfect opportunity. The real trading point lies in the resonance of the key variable (uncertainty) with market sentiment.

The value of data lies in providing history and possible directions, rather than the holy grail of 100% winning probability. Later trading is not about comparing who knows more to make more money, but comparing who can live in the market for a longer time (losing less).

So I began to delete unnecessary data analysis and no longer fixated on every detail, but only focused on Narrative, capital flows, liquidity and emotional turning points.

My trading method has become more and more simple. I no longer pursue perfect matching of data. I only enter the market at critical points, increase my own fault tolerance space, reduce information overload, focus on those core variables that I believe affect the market, and be more flexible. Adapt to market changes without being limited by a single strategy.

Trading is an endless conversation with yourself

To this day, I finally realize that trading is not about knowing much, but about knowing what to ignore.

You can analyze online data, study market sentiment, capture short-term terms, and track capital flows. You can understand market sentiment in MEME coins. A meme ignites FOMO, a tweet pulls a currency away, and you can also withdraw before beliefs collapse.

Although you know so much, it still does not delay you from losing money. This is the cruel reality.

The key to trading is not to master all the information, but to simplify and focus on the few important things, to be able to filter out the noise of the market, believe in your decisions at every step and bravely admit right and wrong, and you will have the opportunity to continue to live in this market.

The above is my personal transition from emotional trading, to data trading, and finally to market rhythm. My experience is not linear, but a process from chaos to order, and finally back to simplification.

Finally, what I want to say is that you can lose anything,

But even super idol’s smile is not as sweet as yours.

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