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GuShiio.com News Brief: February 14 A-shares are sluggish, Hong Kong stocks are optimistic, US stocks closed higher, pay attention to policies and international situation

GuShiio.com News Brief: February 14 A-shares are sluggish, Hong Kong stocks are optimistic, US stocks closed higher, pay attention to policies and international situation插图

According to comprehensive factors such as market sentiment, attention and policy trends on February 14, the probability of China’s CSI 300 rising today is about 40%, the probability of the Hang Seng Technology Index rising today is about 60%, and the probability of the Nasdaq 100 rising today is about 65%.
(This information comes from GuShiio.com AI big model calculation, the data is for reference only)

China A-share news

  1. Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.42%, Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.77%, and ChiNext Index fell 0.71%: The overall performance of the A-share market is relatively sluggish, and market sentiment is relatively cautious.
  2. The central bank released the China Monetary Policy Implementation Report for the fourth quarter of 2024: The report stated that a variety of monetary policy tools should be used in combination to maintain ample liquidity, so that the growth of social financing scale and money supply will match the expected targets of economic growth and overall price level.
  3. The Ministry of Commerce responded to the US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports: The spokesperson of the Ministry of Commerce pointed out that the US not only retained the original 232 steel and aluminum tariffs, but also further increased the tariffs on aluminum products, which seriously damaged the rights and interests of all countries, seriously undermined the rules-based multilateral trading system, and impacted the global supply chain.
  4. Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun hosted a regular press conference: Guo Jiakun said that China is happy to see Russia and the United States strengthen communication and dialogue on a series of international issues. Regarding the Ukrainian crisis, China has always believed that dialogue and negotiation are the only viable way to resolve the crisis.
  5. SSE 300 Index fell 0.05%: As of 09:59 on February 14, 2025, the SSE 300 Index fell 0.05%, and the constituent stocks rose and fell.
  6. Goldman Sachs expects the CSI 300 Index to rise 20% in 2025: Goldman Sachs strategists predict that by the end of 2025, the CSI 300 Index will reach 4,600 points, which means there is a 21% upside.
  7. Galaxy Securities: The market may start again around the Spring Festival: Galaxy Securities believes that the market may start again around the Spring Festival.
  8. A-share market sentiment is relatively cautious: The overall market performance is relatively sluggish, and investors are relatively cautious. We need to pay attention to macroeconomic data and policy trends.
  9. A-share market pays attention to policy trends: The market is more sensitive to policy news, and we need to pay attention to the relevant policies and statements of the central bank and the Ministry of Commerce.
  10. A-share market pays attention to international situation: The market pays more attention to changes in the international situation, especially the progress of Sino-US trade relations and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

China Hong Kong Stock News

  1. The three major Hong Kong stock indexes opened sharply higher: The Hang Seng Index rose 0.98%, the National Index rose 1%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index rose 2%.
  2. Hang Seng Technology Index entered a technical bull market: The Hang Seng Technology Index rose more than 20% from the low point on January 14, entering a technical bull market.
  3. Most large-scale technology stocks rose: Xiaomi hit a new record high, Meituan rose 2.66%, Tencent rose nearly 2%, Kuaishou, Alibaba, and NetEase rose more than 1%.
  4. DeepSeek concept stocks continued to be strong: Tuya Smart once soared nearly 230% in the afternoon and finally closed up more than 43%, Kingdee International and Weimo Group were both strong.
  5. Hong Kong stock market sentiment is relatively optimistic: The market is optimistic about the prospects of Hong Kong stocks, especially the performance of technology stocks and DeepSeek concept stocks.
  6. CITIC Securities: Hong Kong stock market may usher in a reversal: CITIC Securities said that the liquidity of the Hong Kong stock market has increased significantly since September 24, 2024, risk appetite has rebounded, the market short selling ratio has dropped significantly, and investor sentiment has increased significantly.
  7. Hong Kong stock market pays attention to policy trends: The market is sensitive to policy news, and it is necessary to pay attention to the implementation of domestic policies to promote the change of investor expectations.
  8. Hong Kong stock market pays attention to the international situation: The market pays more attention to changes in the international situation, especially the progress of Sino-US trade relations and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
  9. Hong Kong stock market pays attention to corporate performance: Hong Kong stocks have entered the annual report forecast and performance period, and fundamentals may once again dominate the market trend.
  10. Hong Kong stock market pays attention to capital flows: Southbound capital has more say, and the market is more concerned about capital flows.

US stock news

  1. The three major US stock indexes closed higher: The Dow Jones rose 0.77%, the S&P 500 rose 1.04%, and the Nasdaq rose 1.5%.
  2. Tesla rose nearly 6%, Nvidia rose more than 3%: Tesla and Nvidia performed strongly, driving technology stocks higher.
  3. Most Chinese stocks rose: The China Concept Index rose more than 1%, and Baidu closed up 3.5%.
  4. U.S. PPI eases market concerns about inflation: After the release of U.S. PPI, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield once plunged 10 basis points.
  5. S&P approaches record high: The S&P 500 index approaches a record high, and market sentiment is relatively optimistic.
  6. The U.S. stock market pays attention to the international situation: The market pays more attention to changes in the international situation, especially the progress of Sino-U.S. trade relations and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
  7. The U.S. stock market pays attention to corporate performance: The market pays more attention to the performance of companies, especially the performance of technology stocks.
  8. The US stock market pays attention to policy trends: The market is sensitive to policy news and needs to pay attention to the relevant policies and statements of the Federal Reserve.
  9. The US stock market pays attention to the flow of funds: The market pays more attention to the flow of funds, especially the movements of institutional investors.
  10. The US stock market sentiment is relatively optimistic: The overall market performance is relatively strong and investor sentiment is relatively optimistic.

Analysis of the probability of rising

Based on the sentiment, attention and policy trends of online users and media, the following are the probability percentages of China’s CSI 300, Hang Seng Technology Index and Nasdaq 100 rising on February 14, 2025:
  • CSI 300: The probability of rising is about 40%. Market sentiment is relatively cautious, and attention should be paid to macroeconomic data and policy trends.
  • Hang Seng Technology Index: The probability of rising is about 60%. Market sentiment is relatively optimistic, especially the performance of technology stocks and DeepSeek concept stocks.
  • Nasdaq 100: The probability of rising is about 65%. The overall market performance was relatively strong, with technology stocks performing outstandingly.

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