GuShiio.com 
According to comprehensive factors such as market sentiment, attention and policy trends on February 12, the probability of Bitcoin rising today is about 60%, the probability of Ethereum rising today is about 55%, and the probability of SOL rising is about 70%.
(This information comes from GuShiio.com AI big model calculation, the data is for reference only)
Coin Circle News
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Bitcoin trading platform reserves fell to a 3-year low: According to CryptoQuant data, as ETF demand soared, Bitcoin trading platform reserves fell to a 3-year low, with only 2.5 million coins left.
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Federal Reserve Chairman Powell supports stablecoin regulation: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said that he supports the establishment of a regulatory framework around stablecoins.
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The US SEC opens the public comment period for Solana ETF: The US SEC opens a 21-day public comment period for Canary Solana ETF.
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Multiple institutions submit applications for Solana spot ETF: Multiple institutions have submitted applications for Solana spot ETF to the US SEC, and the SEC has accepted the relevant documents.
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Franklin Solana Trust Fund Registration: Franklin Templeton registered the Franklin Solana Trust Fund in Delaware.
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CME Ethereum short positions soared: Since November last year, the number of CME Ethereum short positions has soared 500%.
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3iQ plans to list Solana and XRP ETFs in Canada: 3iQ plans to list 3iQ Solana Staking ETF and 3iQ XRP ETF in Canada.
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Goldman Sachs Bitcoin ETF holdings increased to $1.5 billion: Goldman Sachs’ Bitcoin ETF holdings increased to $1.5 billion in Q4 2024.
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WLFI launches strategic token reserve: Trump family-backed crypto project WLFI launches strategic token reserve to support crypto projects such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.
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Meme and AI token index plummeted: The Meme and AI token index plummeted 50% from its December high.
Blockchain News
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Circle issues new USDC on Solana chain: Circle issues new USDC of 250 million on Solana chain.
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Uniswap Labs launches Layer2 network Unichain: Uniswap Labs announces that the Layer2 network Unichain mainnet has been launched.
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DeFi platform Legends completes financing: DeFi platform Legends completes $15 million in financing, with a16z and other investors.
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The U.S. Financial Services Committee holds a hearing on digital asset regulation: The U.S. Financial Services Committee will hold a hearing on digital asset regulation on the 12th.
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Arbitrum will release major news: Arbitrum officials said that it will release major news tomorrow.
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DeepSeek Liang Wenfeng’s net worth surpasses Huang Renxun: According to Bloomberg News, DeepSeek’s valuation is as high as $150 billion, and Liang Wenfeng’s net worth surpasses Huang Renxun.
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Funds deploy DeepSeek concept stocks: Funds are rushing to deploy DeepSeek concept stocks, and value revaluation may lead a new round of “tech bulls”.
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Mexican tycoon Salinas talks about CBDC: Mexican tycoon Salinas said that European citizens will be forced to accept CBDC, and Bitcoin is a circumvention solution.
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Cryptocurrency custodian BitGo plans IPO: Cryptocurrency custodian BitGo is expected to conduct an IPO as early as the second half of 2025.
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US SEC member talks about the crypto agenda: US SEC member Hester Peirce said that the SEC is waiting for the chairman to be appointed before formulating the crypto agenda.
Probability of rise analysis
Based on the sentiment, attention and policy trends of online users and media, the following is the probability percentage of Bitcoin, Ethereum and SOL rising on February 12, 2025:
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Bitcoin (BTC): The probability of rising is about 60%. Market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and the reserves of Bitcoin trading platforms have dropped to a 3-year low, indicating that the market demand for Bitcoin has increased. In addition, Fed Chairman Powell supports stablecoin regulation, which may have a positive impact on the market.
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Ethereum (ETH): The probability of an increase is about 55%. Market sentiment on Ethereum has increased. Although CME Ethereum short positions have soared, Ethereum’s technical indicators show that it may rebound to more than $3,000.
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SOL: The probability of an increase is about 70%. Many institutions have submitted applications for Solana spot ETFs, and the SEC has accepted relevant documents. The market’s attention and expectations for Solana are high.
